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Periods of stagflation in Pakistan

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Prime Minister of Pakistan, Syed Yousaf Raza Gillani, speaking at the World Economic Forum on the Middle East in 2008 in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt.

Periods of stagflation in Pakistan

Times of stagflation in Pakistan are when the country's economy has big problems. Stagflation means the economy is not growing, jobs are hard to find, and prices for things like food and fuel keep rising. This has happened several times since Pakistan started.

The first time began in the 1970s after East Pakistan became Bangladesh. Leaders tried to fix things, and later, changes under a military government helped end it. A second period happened in the 1990s when the end of foreign support and changes in aid made problems worse. Leaders worked to improve things, and by the 2000s, new policies helped end this time too.

A third period began after the 2008 elections and during difficult times in North-West Pakistan and a big world financial problem. Some believe this was caused by many things, like problems with leadership and strict money policies. Some leaders, like Yousaf Raza Gillani, who was Prime Minister of Pakistan from 2008 to 2012, are thought to have not done enough to help the economy grow.

Historical analysis

First period of stagflation

Main article: Nationalization in Pakistan

In the 1970s, Pakistan had big economic troubles after East Pakistan became independent as Bangladesh. This loss hurt Pakistan's economy. The government tried to help by taking control of many businesses, but this made things worse. Factories did not work well, and many people lost jobs. Prices rose, and the economy grew very slowly.

Second period of stagflation

Benazir Bhutto was presiding the country (as Prime Minister) during the peak times of second period of stagflation.

Main articles: Seventh Five-Year Plans (Pakistan), Eighth Five-Year Plans (Pakistan), Privatization in Pakistan, and Economic liberalisation in Pakistan

Later, leaders tried new plans to improve the economy, but these also caused problems. Some factories closed, and many people lost jobs. The value of investments fell a lot. Economic growth slowed, and prices kept rising. Leaders tried to fix things, but the economy stayed weak for many years.

PeriodsGDP Growth Rate↓
(according to Sartaj Aziz)
Inflation Rate↑
(according to Sartaj Aziz)
1988-894.88%10.39%
1989-904.67%6.04%
1991-927.68%9.62%
1992-933.03%11.66%
1993-944.0%11.80%
1994-954.5%14.5%
1995-961.70%10.79%

Reassessment and development

Main article: Medium Term Development Framework

In 1999, a military leader took control of the government. He created a new plan called the "Medium Term Development Framework" to help the country's economy. The plan aimed to bring in more foreign investment and change economic rules.

Because of these changes, the economy started to grow again. For the first time in many years, the country's growth rate reached 9.0%, which was very high compared to other countries. This helped end a time of slow growth and high prices.

Economic decay and responsive measures

Third era of stagflation

The economy of Pakistan had big problems after the 2008 general elections and increased spread militancy in Western Pakistan. President Pervez Musharraf left his job, and new leaders took over. They tried to bring back an important judge, Iftikhar Chaudhry, to his job as chief justice. The new government, led by Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gillani, had a hard time choosing good finance ministers and lost two of them. At the same time, the world's economy had big problems in 2008, which stopped Pakistan's economy from growing. The value of Pakistan's money, the Rupee, dropped quickly. Prices for food and electricity went up a lot, and more people became poor.

The third era of stagflation began under the rule of Yousaf Raza Gillani.

The floods across the country destroyed many buildings and made it hard for businesses to grow. The government hired many people to help, but they did not have enough training, which made things slower. Experts said the government did not do enough to fix these problems.

Reasoning and causes

Writers said the government hired many people in jobs because of politics, which hurt the economy. Some experts think many things caused these problems, like not enough good rules and leaders not working well together. One group said the way the government handled money and loans was not good, which made things worse. During this time, many people became poorer, and prices kept going up, making it hard for the economy to grow.

Fiscal yearGDP Growth Rate
(according to Pakistaniaat)
Stagflation Growth Rate
(according to Pakistaniaat)
2006-076.8%7.8%
2007-083.7%12.0%
2008-091.7%20.0%
2009-103.8%11.7%
2010-112.4%14.5%

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