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Periods of stagflation in Pakistan

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Prime Minister of Pakistan, Syed Yousaf Raza Gillani, speaking at the World Economic Forum on the Middle East in 2008 in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt.

Periods of stagflation in Pakistan are times when the country's economy faces big challenges. Stagflation means that the economy is not growing, jobs are hard to find, and prices for things like food and fuel keep going up. This has happened several times since Pakistan began.

The first time started in the 1970s after East Pakistan became Bangladesh. Leaders tried to fix the problem, and later, changes under a military government helped end it. A second period happened in the 1990s when the end of foreign support and changes in aid created more problems. Leaders worked to improve things, and by the 2000s, new policies helped end this period too.

A third period began after the 2008 elections and during tough times in North-West Pakistan and a big world financial problem. Some believe this was caused by many things, like the country's role in big conflicts, problems with leadership, and strict money policies. Some leaders, like Yousaf Raza Gillani, who was Prime Minister of Pakistan from 2008 to 2012, are thought to have not done enough to help the economy grow.

Historical analysis

First period of stagflation

Main article: Nationalization in Pakistan

In the 1970s, Pakistan faced big economic problems after East Pakistan became independent as Bangladesh. This loss hurt Pakistan's economy a lot. The government tried to fix things by taking control of many businesses, but this caused more problems. Factories didn't work well, and many people lost jobs. Prices went up, and the economy grew very slowly.

Second period of stagflation

Benazir Bhutto was presiding the country (as Prime Minister) during the peak times of second period of stagflation.

Main articles: Seventh Five-Year Plans (Pakistan), Eighth Five-Year Plans (Pakistan), Privatization in Pakistan, and Economic liberalisation in Pakistan

Later, leaders tried new plans to improve the economy, but these also caused problems. Some factories closed, and many people lost jobs. The value of investments dropped a lot. Economic growth slowed down, and prices kept rising. Leaders tried to fix things, but the economy stayed weak for many years.

PeriodsGDP Growth Rate↓
(according to Sartaj Aziz)
Inflation Rate↑
(according to Sartaj Aziz)
1988-894.88%10.39%
1989-904.67%6.04%
1991-927.68%9.62%
1992-933.03%11.66%
1993-944.0%11.80%
1994-954.5%14.5%
1995-961.70%10.79%

Reassessment and development

Main article: Medium Term Development Framework

In 1999, a military leader took control of the government. He introduced a new plan called the "Medium Term Development Framework" to help improve the country's economy. This plan focused on encouraging foreign investment and changing economic policies.

Because of these changes, the economy began to grow again. For the first time in many years, the country's growth rate reached 9.0%, which was very high compared to other countries at the time. This helped end a period of slow economic growth and high prices.

Economic decay and responsive measures

Third era of stagflation

The economy of Pakistan faced big problems after the 2008 general elections and increased spread militancy in Western Pakistan. President Pervez Musharraf had to leave his position, and a new group of leaders took over. They worked to bring back a important judge, Iftikhar Chaudhry, to his role as chief justice. The new government, led by Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gillani, had a hard time choosing good finance ministers and lost two of them. During this time, the world's economy also had big problems in 2008, which made Pakistan's economy stop growing. The value of Pakistan's money, the Rupee, dropped quickly, prices for things like food and electricity went up a lot, and more people became poor.

The third era of stagflation began under the rule of Yousaf Raza Gillani.

The floods that happened across the country destroyed a lot of buildings and made it hard for businesses to grow. The government hired many people without enough training to help, but this made things even slower. Experts said that the government did not do enough to fix these problems.

Reasoning and causes

Writers said that the government hired many people in jobs just because of politics, which hurt the economy. Some experts think many things caused these problems, like not enough good rules and leaders not working well together. One group said that the way the government handled money and loans was not good, which also made things worse. During this time, many people became poorer, and prices kept going up, making it hard for the economy to grow.

Fiscal yearGDP Growth Rate
(according to Pakistaniaat)
Stagflation Growth Rate
(according to Pakistaniaat)
2006-076.8%7.8%
2007-083.7%12.0%
2008-091.7%20.0%
2009-103.8%11.7%
2010-112.4%14.5%

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